Vol. 1, 2026

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Intelligence “On Tap”
The Early Economics Of AI Agents 

AI spending is boosting U.S. economic growth. Critics worry about the potential impact on the U.S. workforce if AI replaces human labor. But the story may be far broader: the rise of independent AI agents could make existing workers more productive, leading to more jobs rather than fewer.
 

Bubble Talk
Analogies And The Dangers Of Macro Pattern-Matching

Every boom eventually becomes a source for an analogy. Railroads. Dot-coms. Shale. As AI spending accelerates, history is being used less to understand the present and more to shortcut it. The risk is not excess optimism—it’s false certainty.
 

Now Boarding
The Global Economy Through The World's 50 Busiest Airports 


Rankings of the 50 busiest airports in the world show the rising wealth of emerging markets, continued dominance of U.S. travelers, and the outsized importance of global connectors. Outside the turbulence of 2020 and talks of deglobalization, the world has never been more interconnected.

Alternative History
Would Some Investors Have Been Better Off Not Chasing Alts?

Who doesn’t love a “Monday Morning Quarterback”?! While often annoying, it can still be useful to consider “how things could have gone”—and to course-correct investment decisions. We consider an “alternative” history of the ever-popular “alts” in the context of a balanced portfolio. 

Payden & Rygel’s Point of View reflects the firm’s current opinion and is subject to change without notice. Sources for the material contained herein are deemed reliable but cannot be guaranteed. Point of View articles may not be reprinted without permission.

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